<aside> 💡 Mental Models vs. Cognitive Biases – Mental models are more tools for thinking or decision making (mostly constructive). Cognitive biases are distortions or illusions and are happening unconsciously (mostly destructive).


Legend: 🎨 – palette marks things I created or renamed. Sort: on the top are concepts that are more active or relevant to me.

For clearer thinking and optimization



80/20 rule

Foundation paralysis effect 🎨

Expected value

Local optimum

Explore vs. exploit

Prediction horizon 🎨

Map vs. territory

Organic knowledge

Guess to understand 🎨

Rumbling to understand 🎨

Local differences are exaggerated

Goodhart's Law

Decision equalizing force 🎨

Aumann's Agreement Theorem